Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 25% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.15
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
11%
6.05
X/2
12%
5.39
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.47
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.29/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.02
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.3 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Orlando City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.28 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
368 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 4-2 HT 3-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
30.05.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
21.08.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-3 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
02.07.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 3-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
09.04.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
06.03.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
0-0
AWAY Orlando City
2.63 xG 2.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
343 Passes 402
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire and Orlando City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 46% of the ball to Orlando City's 54%, shots finished 16-24, expected goals 2.63 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.00 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Orlando City?

Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 36%, draw 27%, Orlando City 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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