DC United 2-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.5
2-3 Goals
34%
1.89
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.85
1/2
12%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
11%
5.27
X/2
8%
7.26
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
7%
22.0
2/2
14%
4.67
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.60/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.72
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.1 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
310 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2022 DC United DC United 0-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
29.02.2020 DC United DC United 1-2 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
14.04.2019 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-3 HT 1-3 DC United DC United ABD
29.07.2018 DC United DC United 2-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
20.08.2017 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-1 DC United DC United ABD
20.03.2016 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
2-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.06 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
264 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH DC United vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United squeezed past Colorado Rapids 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, DC United had 44% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 56%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for DC United and 1.00 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of DC United vs Colorado Rapids?

DC United 2-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split DC United 42%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (DC United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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