Austin vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Austin
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Austin
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
Austin 0-3 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United ran out comfortable winners over Austin 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Minnesota United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Austin had 67% of the ball to Minnesota United's 33%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.13 to 0.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Austin.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Austin and 1.00 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of Austin vs Minnesota United?
Austin 0-3 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austin 37%, draw 27%, Minnesota United 36%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.