Austin vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Austin
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Austin
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
Minnesota United
ABD
2-0
HT 2-0
Austin
ABD
Austin 1-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United nicked a narrow win over Austin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Minnesota United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Austin had 51% of the ball to Minnesota United's 49%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.11 to 3.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Minnesota United's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austin and 1.17 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of Austin vs Minnesota United?
Austin 1-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austin 38%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.