San Diego 5-0 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.27
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.56
X/2
11%
9.2
X/X
17%
5.72
2/1
6%
21.3
2/2
10%
6.71
2/X
4%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 26%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.67/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.41
-45% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.0 Crosses 12.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
5-0
AWAY FC Dallas
2.13 xG 0.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
551 Passes 327
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Diego vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego cruised past FC Dallas 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, San Diego had 60% of the ball to FC Dallas's 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.13 to 0.52.

What was the final score of San Diego vs FC Dallas?

San Diego 5-0 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Diego 42%, draw 28%, FC Dallas 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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