Minnesota United 2-0 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Mar 2024

Minnesota United
2-0 HT 1-0
Los Angeles FC
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.56
1/2
5%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
14%
6.83
X/2
14%
4.99
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
2/2
18%
2.93
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.35
-14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
21.1 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 5-1 HT 3-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
16.07.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
14.09.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
02.05.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
24.10.2021 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
29.07.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

Minnesota United 2-0 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
2-0
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.81 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
348 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United got the better of Los Angeles FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Minnesota United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 50% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 50%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.81 to 1.63 — on chances, Los Angeles FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minnesota United and 2.00 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC?

Minnesota United 2-0 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 40%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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