Hertha Berlin 2-1 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.56
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
12%
7.84
X/X
10%
5.26
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
13%
5.66
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.76
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
22.2 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.42 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
377 Passes 387
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.08.2025 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
09.05.2025 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
13.12.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-2 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL2
26.10.2021 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-3 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
2-1
AWAY Preussen Münster
4.36 xG 1.52
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 566
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin nicked a narrow win over Preussen Münster 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 34% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 66%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 4.36 to 1.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hertha Berlin's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Preussen Münster led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.25 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Preussen Münster?

Hertha Berlin 2-1 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 46%, draw 25%, Preussen Münster 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025
14:00 Holstein Kiel vs Darmstadt 98 Analysis →
14:00 Kaiserslautern vs Bochum Analysis →
21:30 Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC Analysis →