1860 München U19 1-0 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
59%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
59%
Away Win
60%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.22/0.72
+41% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
272 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München U19
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Bayern München U19
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.54 xG 0.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 2-2 HT 1-1 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 ALU19
18.08.2024 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 2-3 HT 1-3 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 ALU19
03.03.2024 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 3-2 HT 1-2 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 ALU19
24.09.2023 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 0-0 HT 0-0 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München U19 squeezed past Bayern München U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayern München U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for 1860 München U19 and 1.75 for Bayern München U19.

What was the final score of 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19?

1860 München U19 1-0 Bayern München U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split 1860 München U19 19%, draw 22%, Bayern München U19 59%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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