1860 München U19 2-3 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.32
No
48%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
28%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
54%
Away Win
56%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
24%
+23.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
76%
-23.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
72%
-20.0pp
48%
BTTS No
28%
+20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.54/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.62
+67% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayern München U19
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 0.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
233 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 3-2 HT 1-2 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 ALU19
24.09.2023 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 0-0 HT 0-0 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München U19
2-3
AWAY Bayern München U19
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München U19 squeezed past 1860 München U19 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München U19 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, 1860 München U19 had 45% of the ball to Bayern München U19's 55%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, 1860 München U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 1860 München U19 and 1.00 for Bayern München U19.

What was the final score of 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19?

1860 München U19 2-3 Bayern München U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split 1860 München U19 25%, draw 21%, Bayern München U19 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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