CA Sarmiento 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.36
Over
33%
2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.39
No
56%
1.51
Total Goals
0-1
39%
1.88
2-3
38%
1.84
4-5
15%
6.83
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
19%
4.52
X/2
10%
6.54
X/X
20%
3.26
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
9%
5.86
2/X
6%
16.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME CA Sarmiento The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata The Market 30%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.11 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.88
1.18 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.26
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.0 Crosses 19.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.82 xG 0.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
200 Passes 304
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
18.10.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
27.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
28.08.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
15.04.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 HT 0-2 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
03.10.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-1
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.83 xG 1.70
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
355 Passes 112
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
27 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW CA Sarmiento vs Gimnasia La Plata
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gimnasia La Plata shaded a tight game against CA Sarmiento 1-0 on the road.

A gentle 41% lean on CA Sarmiento didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came home.

Under the surface, CA Sarmiento had 70% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 30%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.83 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Sarmiento had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.33 for Gimnasia La Plata.

CA Sarmiento vs Gimnasia La Plata Result & Final Score

CA Sarmiento 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CA Sarmiento vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 41%, draw 34%, Gimnasia La Plata 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Sarmiento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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