Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.54
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.58
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
8.55
X/X
16%
3.78
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
13%
7.98
2/X
5%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.46/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.41
-4% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.1 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0W-4D-2L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
305 Passes 204
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.10.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
27.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
28.08.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
15.04.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-3 HT 0-2 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
03.10.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
03.05.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.21 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
299 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 15
37 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata and CA Sarmiento played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia La Plata at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 56% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 44%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.21 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Sarmiento led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 0.83 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs CA Sarmiento?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 46%, draw 29%, CA Sarmiento 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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