River Plate 2-2 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 35% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.96
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.15
X/1
18%
3.72
X/2
8%
12.25
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
11.55
2/X
8%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.88/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.39
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
24.2 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rosario Central
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.81 xG 0.73
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
439 Passes 170
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2024 River Plate River Plate 4-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
08.04.2024 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
23.12.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJTC
10.12.2023 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
12.11.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
24.07.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-3 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
2-2
AWAY Rosario Central
0.71 xG 1.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
419 Passes 212
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and Rosario Central couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 63% of the ball to Rosario Central's 37%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 0.71 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for River Plate and 1.17 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Rosario Central?

River Plate 2-2 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split River Plate 48%, draw 28%, Rosario Central 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
30 Mar 2025
00:30 Central Cordoba Santiago vs Argentinos Juniors Analysis →
00:45 Independiente vs Godoy Cruz Analysis →
21:00 Belgrano Cordoba vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →
22:00 Gimnasia La Plata vs CA Sarmiento Analysis →