Independiente 4-0 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.76
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
22.45
X/1
18%
3.48
X/2
6%
16.05
X/X
11%
4.79
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
6%
16.6
2/X
9%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.3pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.59/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.63
-3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.7 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.52 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
29.08.2024 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-3 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJK
04.06.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
21.08.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.03.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 3-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
27.09.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-4 HT 0-2 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
4-0
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.21 xG 0.31
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
465 Passes 293
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente cruised past Godoy Cruz 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Independiente had 61% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 39%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente and 1.83 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Godoy Cruz?

Independiente 4-0 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Independiente 54%, draw 27%, Godoy Cruz 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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