Ried 2-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2025

Ried
2-0 HT 1-0
Swarovski Tirol
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Ried vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.74
Over 2.5
55%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.82
No
40%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
14%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
19%
4.74
X/2
9%
6.94
X/X
15%
4.37
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.32
2/X
5%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 12% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
54%
-9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
46%
+9.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.9pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.30/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.63
-20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.3 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ried vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.05.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AVU
14.04.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.11.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-0 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU
21.08.2022 Ried Ried 1-2 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.04.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
16.04.2022 Ried Ried 2-3 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU

Ried 2-0 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
2-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.60 xG 0.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
179 Passes 183
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ried vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried got the better of Swarovski Tirol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ried had 52% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 48%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.60 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ried and 1.83 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Ried vs Swarovski Tirol?

Ried 2-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ried 43%, draw 26%, Swarovski Tirol 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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