Grazer AK 1-3 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.79
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
10%
8.25
X/2
22%
4.3
X/X
14%
4.52
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.5
2/X
4%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 55%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.06/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.64
+14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
15.1 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.67 xG 2.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
345 Passes 213
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
30.11.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-4 HT 3-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
25.08.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 4-2 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-3
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.03 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 332
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC saw off Grazer AK 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsberger AC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grazer AK had 49% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 51%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.03 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wolfsberger AC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Grazer AK and 4.00 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?

Grazer AK 1-3 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 22%, draw 27%, Wolfsberger AC 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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