Grazer AK 3-4 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.55
1/2
11%
29.0
1/X
4%
13.6
X/1
6%
6.19
X/2
15%
4.98
X/X
14%
4.28
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.35
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.42/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.56
+20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
Crosses 17.1
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.67 xG 2.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 213
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
25.08.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 4-2 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
3-4
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
25% Ball Possession 75%
7 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC edged past Grazer AK 4-3 away from home. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsberger AC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grazer AK had 25% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 75%, shots finished 7-20.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?

Grazer AK 3-4 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 28%, draw 29%, Wolfsberger AC 44%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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