Hartberg 1-1 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Nov 2024

Hartberg
1-1 HT 0-1
Salzburg
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hartberg vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 25% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.86
1/2
7%
22.1
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
11%
8.31
X/2
16%
4.35
X/X
9%
5.6
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.41
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.14/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.45
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.4 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Hartberg vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Salzburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.95 xG 2.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
17.03.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
25.11.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
01.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
20.08.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
29.10.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU

Hartberg 1-1 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-1
AWAY Salzburg
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg and Salzburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hartberg had 38% of the ball to Salzburg's 62%, shots finished 2-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartberg and 3.33 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Salzburg?

Hartberg 1-1 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 31%, draw 25%, Salzburg 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024
19:00 Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC Analysis →
19:00 Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz Analysis →