Hartberg 1-5 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 12 May 2024

Hartberg
1-5 HT 1-3
Salzburg
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hartberg vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.95
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.49
1/2
8%
19.25
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
7%
11.4
X/2
23%
4.12
X/X
13%
6.93
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
1.9
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 64%
+5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.05/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.99
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
233 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
13.7 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hartberg vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Salzburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.82 xG 1.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
292 Passes 428
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
25.11.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
01.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
20.08.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
29.10.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
06.08.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 0-2 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU

Hartberg 1-5 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-5
AWAY Salzburg
1.10 xG 5.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
419 Passes 356
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg swept aside Hartberg 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hartberg had 53% of the ball to Salzburg's 47%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 1.10 to 5.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hartberg and 2.83 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Salzburg?

Hartberg 1-5 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 24%, draw 25%, Salzburg 51%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5
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