Rheindorf Altach 1-1 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.61
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.7
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
11%
10.35
X/2
13%
3.7
X/X
9%
5.15
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.11
2/X
8%
16.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +24%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.93
-41% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +81%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
20.0 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rheindorf Altach
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sturm Graz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 278
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-1 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
10.12.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
02.09.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
06.11.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
13.08.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
01.12.2021 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rheindorf Altach
1-1
AWAY Sturm Graz
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rheindorf Altach and Sturm Graz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rheindorf Altach had 40% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 60%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rheindorf Altach and 1.83 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz?

Rheindorf Altach 1-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rheindorf Altach vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rheindorf Altach 25%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz 52%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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