Austria Wien 0-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.62
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1
22%
4.58
X/2
7%
7.8
X/X
12%
4.79
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
8%
5.94
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
48%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
25%
-5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.69/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.55
+9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.9 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
316 Passes 239
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-2 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
30.03.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-2 HT 0-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
03.11.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 0-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
04.08.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
18.05.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
29.03.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
0-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.45 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
329 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz squeezed past Austria Wien 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Austria Wien at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Austria Wien had 51% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 49%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.45 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austria Wien and 0.83 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Austria Wien 0-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 55%, draw 25%, Blau-Weiss Linz 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Austria Wien) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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