Patro Eisden 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
11%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.70/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.47
+24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.0 Crosses 18.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
196 Passes 333
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
03.11.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-3 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
23.02.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
20.08.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
2-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.25 xG 0.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 232
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden edged past Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 52% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 48%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Patro Eisden and 1.50 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Patro Eisden 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 45%, draw 28%, Lierse Kempenzonen 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
4 Oct 2025
17:00 Club Brugge II vs KAA Gent II Analysis →
21:00 AS Eupen vs RWDM Brussels Analysis →
21:00 Olympic Charleroi vs Lokeren-Temse Analysis →