Naftan Novopolotsk 5-3 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.66
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.97
6+
5%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel The Market 48%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
1.54 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Gomel
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
21.09.2024 Gomel Gomel 2-1 HT 0-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
04.05.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-2 HT 0-2 Gomel Gomel BLR
12.08.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-2 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
01.04.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
15.11.2020 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-4 HT 1-2 Gomel Gomel BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
5 - 3
AWAY Gomel
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Naftan Novopolotsk vs Gomel
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Naftan Novopolotsk saw off Gomel 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. With 8 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Our pre-match lean was Gomel at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.85, about 54%.

The match data tells the story: Naftan Novopolotsk had 41% of the ball to Gomel's 59%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 2.33 for Gomel.

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Gomel Result & Final Score

Naftan Novopolotsk 5 - 3 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Gomel Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 28%, draw 29%, Gomel 43%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gomel), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gomel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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