Aarhus Fremad 1-2 B93 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
31%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.97
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.65
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
7%
10.55
X/X
11%
6.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.0
2/2
9%
7.51
2/X
4%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.0 — our 13% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 23%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -2%
1.80/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.84
+59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
3.0 Crosses 14.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1W-0D-0L
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.09.2025 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 1-3 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1-2
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
1.64 xG 0.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
425 Passes 299
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs B93 Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

B93 Kopenhag squeezed past Aarhus Fremad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aarhus Fremad at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 57% of the ball to B93 Kopenhag's 43%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs B93 Kopenhag?

Aarhus Fremad 1-2 B93 Kopenhag in the Denmark 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs B93 Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 60%, draw 19%, B93 Kopenhag 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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