KuPS Ak. 2-2 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.1
2-3 Goals
43%
2.08
4-5 Goals
25%
2.43
6+ Goals
17%
4.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.4pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -48%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Mikkeli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.08.2025 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-6 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN3
28.05.2025 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-4 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİK
17.05.2025 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 2-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
2-2
AWAY Mikkeli
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. and Mikkeli couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Mikkeli carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 58% of the ball to Mikkeli's 42%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mikkeli led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for KuPS Ak. and 4.33 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs Mikkeli?

KuPS Ak. 2-2 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mikkeli win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 20%, draw 23%, Mikkeli 57%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mikkeli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mikkeli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FINY More Finland - Ykkönen Championship
4 Oct 2025
17:00 RoPS vs FC Jazz Analysis →
19:00 Atlantis vs Inter Turku II Analysis →