KuPS Ak. 1-4 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
258 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mikkeli
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
17.05.2025 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 2-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
1-4
AWAY Mikkeli
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli swept aside KuPS Ak. 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mikkeli as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 45% of the ball to Mikkeli's 55%, shots finished 9-24.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs Mikkeli?

KuPS Ak. 1-4 Mikkeli in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mikkeli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 27%, draw 28%, Mikkeli 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mikkeli) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mikkeli) ✗ Under 2.5
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