IFK Mariehamn 2-2 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.23
Over 2.5
43%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.3pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.32
-37% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-3D-1L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
14.09.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
16.08.2020 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
02.02.2020 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
23.09.2018 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-2 HT 1-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
29.06.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
03.05.2018 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-2 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2-2
AWAY TPS Turku
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and TPS Turku couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 58% of the ball to TPS Turku's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.33 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs TPS Turku?

IFK Mariehamn 2-2 TPS Turku in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 37%, draw 27%, TPS Turku 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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