KPV Kokkola 2-0 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.5pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 51%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+150% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KPV Kokkola
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 6-2 HT 2-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FINY
11.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-0 HT 1-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
08.05.2022 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-3 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
15.10.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
27.06.2020 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-1 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
20.08.2018 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-3 HT 0-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KPV Kokkola
2-0
AWAY KTP Kotka
26% Ball Possession 74%
2 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH KPV Kokkola vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola got the better of KTP Kotka 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was KTP Kotka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KPV Kokkola had 26% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 74%, shots finished 2-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KPV Kokkola and 2.33 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of KPV Kokkola vs KTP Kotka?

KPV Kokkola 2-0 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KPV Kokkola vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KPV Kokkola 34%, draw 23%, KTP Kotka 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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