Cardiff Draconians 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.5pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.5pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cardiff Draconians vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff Draconians squeezed past Cwmbran Celtic 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cardiff Draconians as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Cardiff Draconians vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Cardiff Draconians 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff Draconians vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff Draconians win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cardiff Draconians 64%, draw 15%, Cwmbran Celtic 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff Draconians), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff Draconians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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