Caersws 2-2 Flint Mountain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.92
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
48%
+10.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.2pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.98
-30% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +80%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Flint Mountain
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.11.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Flint Mountain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws and Flint Mountain shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Caersws at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Flint Mountain?

Caersws 2-2 Flint Mountain in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Flint Mountain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Caersws 58%, draw 18%, Flint Mountain 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caersws) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✓ BTTS Yes
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