FC Gifu 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.59/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.12
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 21.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
1W-3D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
203 Passes 467
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 0
03.05.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
26.08.2015 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
28.06.2015 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
17.08.2014 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
2-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
363 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Gifu as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Gifu had 52% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 48%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Gifu had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FC Gifu and 1.00 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

FC Gifu 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gifu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 47%, draw 27%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Gifu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Gifu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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