Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.09
No
45%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.4pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.95/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.08
+19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
30.11.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
24.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 51% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 49%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 0.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 60%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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