Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-22% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
1.84/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.97
-8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Institute FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
09.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 3-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.08.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
02.04.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
28.10.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
09.09.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders edged past Institute FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Harland & Wolff Welders and 1.33 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute FC?

Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Harland & Wolff Welders 59%, draw 21%, Institute FC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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