Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bendel Insurance v Nasarawa United — Team-Based Signals
Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Bendel Insurance 0-1 Nasarawa United — Actual Match Statistics
Nasarawa United edged past Bendel Insurance 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bendel Insurance at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%) came in.
On the day, Bendel Insurance had 58% of the ball to Nasarawa United's 42%, shots finished 17-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bendel Insurance and 1.50 for Nasarawa United.
What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United?
Bendel Insurance 0-1 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 42%, draw 36%, Nasarawa United 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bendel Insurance) went the other way.