Bendel Insurance 1-1 Nasarawa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 20 Apr 2025

Bendel Insurance
1-1 HT 0-1
Nasarawa United
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
12%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
57%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
12%
Away Win
16%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.4pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bendel Insurance v Nasarawa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.17/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.32
-20% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nasarawa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.11.2024 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance and Nasarawa United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Bendel Insurance carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United?

Bendel Insurance 1-1 Nasarawa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 62%, draw 26%, Nasarawa United 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bendel Insurance), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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