Heartland 0-0 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 20 Apr 2025

Heartland
0-0 HT 0-0
Kwara United
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Heartland vs Kwara United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.6pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heartland v Kwara United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.22/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.54
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Heartland vs Kwara United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Kwara United
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
The Meetings
27.11.2024 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
23.06.2024 Kwara United Kwara United 4-0 HT 2-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
25.01.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-1 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
25.07.2021 Heartland Heartland 0-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
14.03.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland and Kwara United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Heartland carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kwara United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Heartland and 1.20 for Kwara United.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Kwara United?

Heartland 0-0 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Heartland 58%, draw 24%, Kwara United 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Heartland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heartland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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