Plateau United 1-0 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.5pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.79/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.03
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Akwa United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
27.11.2024 Akwa United Akwa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
24.03.2024 Plateau United Plateau United 1-2 HT 0-1 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
27.02.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 3-0 HT 1-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
04.07.2021 Plateau United Plateau United 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
20.02.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United nicked a narrow win over Akwa United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Akwa United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Plateau United and 0.80 for Akwa United.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Akwa United?

Plateau United 1-0 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 61%, draw 24%, Akwa United 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
20 Apr 2025
17:00 Niger Tornadoes vs Bayelsa United Analysis →
17:00 El Kanemi Warriors vs Ikorodu City Analysis →
18:00 Heartland vs Kwara United Analysis →
18:00 Shooting Stars vs Remo Stars Analysis →
18:00 Rivers United vs Sunshine Stars Analysis →
19:30 Bendel Insurance vs Nasarawa United Analysis →