Akwa United 1-0 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Nov 2024

Akwa United
1-0 HT 0-0
Plateau United
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Akwa United vs Plateau United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akwa United v Plateau United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.64/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.55
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Akwa United vs Plateau United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akwa United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Plateau United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 23
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Plateau United Plateau United 1-2 HT 0-1 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
27.02.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 3-0 HT 1-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
04.07.2021 Plateau United Plateau United 0-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
20.02.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United squeezed past Plateau United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Akwa United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Akwa United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Akwa United and 1.00 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Plateau United?

Akwa United 1-0 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 51%, draw 32%, Plateau United 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akwa United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Akwa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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