Sunshine Stars 1-1 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.13/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.07
-13% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
137 · 46% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 161 · 53%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rivers United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.01.2022 Rivers United Rivers United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
28.03.2021 Rivers United Rivers United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars and Rivers United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sunshine Stars at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rivers United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sunshine Stars and 0.50 for Rivers United.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Rivers United?

Sunshine Stars 1-1 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 49%, draw 23%, Rivers United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunshine Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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