Abia Warriors 2-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.6
No
68%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
34%
-1.8pp
68%
BTTS No
66%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.37
-23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
24.03.2024 Katsina United Katsina United 2-1 HT 0-1 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
19.03.2022 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 2-2 HT 2-2 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
21.03.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 3-1 HT 2-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors saw off Katsina United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Abia Warriors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Abia Warriors and 1.67 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Katsina United?

Abia Warriors 2-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 48%, draw 32%, Katsina United 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abia Warriors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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