Nasarawa United 2-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.34
No
55%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
26%
+19.5pp
55%
BTTS No
74%
-19.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.37/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.63
-21% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
2-1
AWAY Bendel Insurance
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United edged past Bendel Insurance 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 58% of the ball to Bendel Insurance's 42%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Nasarawa United 2-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 61%, draw 22%, Bendel Insurance 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✗ BTTS No
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