Lysekloster 2-3 Sandnes Ulf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
8%
7.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 26% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 58%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.15/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/2.24
+69% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lysekloster
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sandnes Ulf
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.05.2025 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-0 HT 0-0 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR3
POST-MATCH Lysekloster vs Sandnes Ulf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandnes Ulf edged past Lysekloster 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sandnes Ulf as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Sandnes Ulf?

Lysekloster 2-3 Sandnes Ulf in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Sandnes Ulf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sandnes Ulf win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 27%, draw 20%, Sandnes Ulf 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandnes Ulf), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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