Vard Haugesund 1-1 Pors Grenland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

Vard Haugesund
1-1 HT 1-1
Pors Grenland
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Vard Haugesund vs Pors Grenland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.18
Over 2.5
66%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.63
No
30%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.43
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
42%
-7.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
58%
+7.7pp
70%
BTTS Yes
57%
+12.3pp
30%
BTTS No
43%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vard Haugesund v Pors Grenland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.84/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.65/2.69
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Vard Haugesund vs Pors Grenland Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pors Grenland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 1-2 HT 1-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
17.10.2004 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-0 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR1
20.06.2004 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 5-2 HT 1-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Pors Grenland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund and Pors Grenland shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vard Haugesund at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (70%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pors Grenland led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vard Haugesund and 2.67 for Pors Grenland.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Pors Grenland?

Vard Haugesund 1-1 Pors Grenland in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Pors Grenland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 55%, draw 25%, Pors Grenland 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vard Haugesund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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