Ullensaker / Kisa 3-4 Hönefoss BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
22%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.78
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
23%
2.46
6+ Goals
20%
5.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
48%
+11.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
22%
Away Win
29%
-7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.60/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.71
+33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hönefoss BK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
05.04.2025 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
27.07.2014 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR1
27.04.2014 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 0-1 HT 0-0 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
POST-MATCH Ullensaker / Kisa vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK squeezed past Ullensaker / Kisa 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ullensaker / Kisa at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ullensaker / Kisa and 0.67 for Hönefoss BK.

What was the final score of Ullensaker / Kisa vs Hönefoss BK?

Ullensaker / Kisa 3-4 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullensaker / Kisa vs Hönefoss BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullensaker / Kisa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ullensaker / Kisa 60%, draw 19%, Hönefoss BK 22%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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