Gamle Oslo 4-2 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.25
No
34%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+6.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
76%
-9.6pp
34%
BTTS No
24%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamle Oslo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.45/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/2.10
+18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamle Oslo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Baerum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Baerum Baerum 1-2 HT 0-0 Gamle Oslo Gamle Oslo NOR4
20.10.2024 Baerum Baerum 1-2 HT 0-0 Gamle Oslo Gamle Oslo NOR4
27.04.2024 Gamle Oslo Gamle Oslo 2-3 HT 1-2 Baerum Baerum NOR4
POST-MATCH Gamle Oslo vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamle Oslo beat Baerum 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Baerum at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gamle Oslo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gamle Oslo and 1.67 for Baerum.

What was the final score of Gamle Oslo vs Baerum?

Gamle Oslo 4-2 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamle Oslo vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gamle Oslo 33%, draw 19%, Baerum 47%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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