Baerum 1-2 Gamle Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.29
No
31%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
9.26
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
44%
2.46
4-5 Goals
30%
2.34
6+ Goals
13%
3.7
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.46 — our 44% vs market 34.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.1pp
69%
BTTS Yes
73%
-4.6pp
31%
BTTS No
27%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamle Oslo EU Bookmakers 37%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.51
-53% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gamle Oslo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2024 Gamle Oslo Gamle Oslo 2-3 HT 1-2 Baerum Baerum NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
1-2
AWAY Gamle Oslo
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Gamle Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamle Oslo edged past Baerum 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Gamle Oslo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

On the day, Baerum had 59% of the ball to Gamle Oslo's 41%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Gamle Oslo?

Baerum 1-2 Gamle Oslo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Gamle Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gamle Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Baerum 37%, draw 23%, Gamle Oslo 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamle Oslo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gamle Oslo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Asane II vs Stord Sunnhordland Analysis →
00:00 Mjolner vs Skjervoy Analysis →
00:00 Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Skedsmo Analysis →
00:00 Skjetten vs Bjorkelangen Analysis →
00:00 IF Ready vs Gjellerasen Analysis →
00:00 Melhus vs Verdal Analysis →