20/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Melhus vs Verdal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
27%
Draw
23%
25%
Away Win
29%
39%
Under 2.5
30%
61%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
40%
BTTS No
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melhus v Verdal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Melhus
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Verdal
EU Bookmakers 33%
-32% /
-32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
1.14/2.70
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.53/1.53
-51%
/
-38%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-12%
/
+40%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
321 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
349 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Melhus vs Verdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Melhus ran out comfortable winners over Verdal 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Melhus vs Verdal?
Melhus 4-0 Verdal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melhus vs Verdal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melhus 48%, draw 27%, Verdal 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Melhus)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
20 Oct 2024