Melhus 4-0 Verdal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.6pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Verdal EU Bookmakers 33%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.14/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.53
-51% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Verdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus ran out comfortable winners over Verdal 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Verdal?

Melhus 4-0 Verdal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Verdal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melhus 48%, draw 27%, Verdal 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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