Tiller 2-3 Rana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

Tiller
2-3 HT 2-2
Rana
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
3.46
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
62%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
25%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
62%
Away Win
54%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rana EU Bookmakers 58%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.78/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/2.32
-55% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiller
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
18.06.2023 Rana Rana 2-1 HT 2-1 Tiller Tiller NOR4
18.09.2022 Tiller Tiller 0-1 HT 0-1 Rana Rana NOR4
11.06.2022 Rana Rana 1-3 HT 0-1 Tiller Tiller NOR4
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Rana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rana squeezed past Tiller 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rana as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tiller and 1.33 for Rana.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Rana?

Tiller 2-3 Rana in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Rana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tiller 16%, draw 22%, Rana 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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