Mjolner 1-3 Skjervoy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.17
Over 2.5
73%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
27%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Under 2.5
28%
-1.3pp
73%
Over 2.5
72%
+1.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.6pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjolner EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Skjervoy EU Bookmakers 50%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.46/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.12
-74% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjolner
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Skjervoy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.10.2023 Mjolner Mjolner 0-1 HT 0-0 Skjervoy Skjervoy NOR4
29.04.2023 Skjervoy Skjervoy 4-2 HT 3-2 Mjolner Mjolner NOR4
08.10.2022 Skjervoy Skjervoy 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjolner Mjolner NOR4
25.06.2022 Mjolner Mjolner 5-1 HT 2-0 Skjervoy Skjervoy NOR4
23.10.2021 Skjervoy Skjervoy 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjolner Mjolner NOR4
POST-MATCH Mjolner vs Skjervoy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skjervoy saw off Mjolner 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Skjervoy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Skjervoy led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mjolner and 2.00 for Skjervoy.

What was the final score of Mjolner vs Skjervoy?

Mjolner 1-3 Skjervoy in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjolner vs Skjervoy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skjervoy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mjolner 33%, draw 24%, Skjervoy 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skjervoy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skjervoy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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