Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arka Gdynia v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals
Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arka Gdynia 2-1 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics
Arka Gdynia came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Cracovia Krakow 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. At 1.52 (~66%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Arka Gdynia had 37% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 63%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.17 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.50 for Cracovia Krakow.
Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia Krakow Result & Final Score
Arka Gdynia 2-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 32%, draw 25%, Cracovia Krakow 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.