Nieciecza 2-4 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Oct 2025

Nieciecza
2-4 HT 1-1
Widzew Lodz
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Nieciecza vs Widzew Lodz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.15
Over
54%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.95
2-3
38%
1.81
4-5
26%
2.91
6+
11%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.09
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
15%
6.39
X/2
14%
5.49
X/X
8%
5.26
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.24
2/X ✗
11%
12.55
Value flag · 2/X at 12.55 — our 11% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Nieciecza v Widzew Lodz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz The Market 45%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.34/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.27
-15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
15.7 Crosses 24.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nieciecza vs Widzew Lodz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.09.2025 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POLK
16.05.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
20.11.2020 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
14.09.2014 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-1 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1

Nieciecza 2-4 Widzew Lodz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
2-4
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.87 xG 1.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 262
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Nieciecza vs Widzew Lodz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Widzew Lodz saw off Nieciecza 4-2 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 25% / 38%); Widzew Lodz picked one for it. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 53% to 47% in Nieciecza's favour, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.87 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.75 a game for Nieciecza against 1.00 for Widzew Lodz.

Nieciecza vs Widzew Lodz Result & Final Score

Nieciecza 2-4 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nieciecza vs Widzew Lodz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 37%, draw 25%, Widzew Lodz 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
4 Oct 2025
18:30 Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Analysis →
21:15 Arka Gdynia vs Cracovia Krakow Analysis →